Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 1342.659861 1535.430004 1752.577363 2016.561768 2330.489427 2693.943115 3149.583849
2025-07-06 1008.727353 1244.090636 1535.153828 1926.314074 2445.549802 3121.651821 4086.273545
2025-07-13 893.604261 1157.917499 1505.664895 2006.167501 2724.152207 3742.803871 5346.301614
2025-07-20 795.921106 1071.793005 1452.883670 2032.485723 2918.825632 4270.995695 6590.365384
2025-07-27 721.533452 1003.422809 1409.198880 2056.330977 3103.016905 4807.281748 7971.881036
2025-08-03 659.932483 943.562409 1366.701701 2070.345216 3267.146589 5335.612743 9473.852596
2025-08-10 621.682002 912.619930 1361.776859 2139.656130 3530.106368 6082.064099 11596.684870
2025-08-17 586.045213 880.840300 1350.204190 2193.797813 3772.806301 6840.191974 13983.265414
2025-08-24 550.940468 845.627262 1327.942170 2224.427423 3974.988095 7561.188275 16533.276521
2025-08-31 517.985364 810.260627 1300.776079 2241.093912 4151.089306 8265.886429 19302.187535
2025-09-07 493.316065 786.130634 1289.835026 2285.562466 4390.104568 9164.017794 22938.285832
2025-09-14 454.217862 733.607700 1222.917365 2212.224800 4365.731268 9444.039578 24943.096329
2025-09-21 418.783221 685.422085 1160.796225 2143.848656 4348.437520 9757.939448 27264.523819
2025-09-28 384.649648 636.995177 1094.059366 2058.499705 4280.274621 9933.495752 29255.159626
2025-10-05 374.887746 631.688722 1107.859527 2143.373086 4627.816569 11311.543859 36200.406089
2025-10-12 359.367709 614.348814 1096.518423 2172.139537 4844.106320 12389.302826 42724.439253
2025-10-19 344.843311 597.631654 1084.655095 2197.959961 5058.287354 13530.012269 50331.058077
2025-10-26 330.438976 579.963440 1069.110632 2213.161724 5247.811935 14657.877699 58779.418628
2025-11-02 322.757050 574.706776 1078.505374 2288.348630 5619.234263 16525.251304 72651.053918
2025-11-09 313.993698 566.573417 1080.983784 2347.111024 5957.601100 18412.888858 88701.407338
2025-11-16 303.635469 554.416579 1073.636226 2380.366137 6228.201712 20161.959799 106043.637316
2025-11-23 292.780051 540.437620 1061.012221 2398.464696 6456.937757 21846.982956 125252.508823
2025-11-30 284.870755 531.977985 1059.894468 2446.765983 6795.467422 24150.514315 152834.529720